Tar Heels
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March Madness Wagering - Use Caution With These Teams
There are a couple of teams in March Madness betting that you might want to avoid. There is a major pattern that points against some high profile squads in March Madness basketball. Let's examine a handful of squads you might want to be quite careful about gambling on in the NCAA Competition.
The Experience Factor
If a squad did not make the NCAA Tournament a year ago you should truly be careful about gambling on them in this season's tournament. And yes, there are quite a few high profile squads that are going to fit into this circumstance. North Carolina, Connecticut, Arizona, St. John’s, UCLA and Cincinnati all missed the competition last year. And there's no question that North Carolina and Connecticut are destined to be top four seeds.
History Tells the Story
If we go back to 1985 we find 107 squads that were really seeded that did not play in the year’s earlier tournament. Simply 8 of those squads attained the Final Four. Merely 2 of those squads won a championship. Let’s compare those squads that were arriving into the championship with no knowledge from the past year with those that are experienced. Squads that have made the competition 2 years back to back or more have much better winning proportion than squads that did not make it last year. Since 1985 there have been a total of 214 squads seeded one through five that had tournament experience and 35 of them made the Final 4. That proportion of teams is 2 times as high as the one we talked about earlier. Five of those teams won the championship.
North Carolina and Connecticut The Tar Heels and Huskies are going to get lots of attention from bettors in the NCAA Championship. They'll both be a leading three seed and likely a leading two seed. If you check out the past and find #1 or #2 seeds that did not make the championship the prior year they did not do well in any way. Of the 23 squads in that circumstance just one achieved the Final Four and won it all. That was Louisville back in 1986. Since then a total of 20 squads that were seeded 1st or second and did not make the competition the earlier year all failed to attain the Final 4. You might want to wager on North Carolina and Connecticut but history tells you to be very careful about doing so.
Men's Basketball: No. 13 North Carolina vs. No. 4 Duke